tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 5 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 83 minLightning 2 minWeather observations 4 minFAA surface data 8 minFAA flight data 9 min
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation ATL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 22 among Atlanta departures 6–9 PM Friday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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Updates
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 19 cancellations among Atlanta departures 6–9 PM Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 19 of the 212 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetATL departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~19.2 over 212 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 4:00 PM EST · 1.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 21:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Forecast

    Model raises expected cancellations to about 22 among Atlanta departures 6–9 PM Friday

    What changed: about 19 → 22 expected cancellations since the 4:00 PM EST forecast

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 22 of the 208 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 2. From the 5:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetATL departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~22.1 over 208 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 5:00 PM EST · 0.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 22:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Nov 13, 6:01 PM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.