tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 2 minFAA NAS status <1 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning <1 minWeather observations 2 minFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 4 min
Forecast Major New Cancellation MDW departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among Midway departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

Current state
New
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View MDWFlights at MDW

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 7 cancellations among Midway departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 29 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (23%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 6:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetMDW departures 9 PM–midnight 2026-11-13 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.8 over 29 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonFri Nov 13, 6:00 PM CST · 1.5 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 01:27 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?