Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among LAX departures 6–9 AM Saturday
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
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Initial Forecast
Model expects about 6 cancellations among LAX departures 6–9 AM Saturday
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 108 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (5%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 6:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~5.7 over 108 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 6:00 PM PST · 11.0 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 02:57 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Forecast
Model raises expected cancellations to about 11 among LAX departures 6–9 AM Saturday
What changed: about 6 → 11 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM PST forecast
Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 11 of the 108 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 PM PST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.
Evidence for this update
Target LAX departures 6–9 AM 2026-11-14 (cancelled) Expected cancellations ~11.2 over 108 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 13, 7:00 PM PST · 10.0 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-14 03:58 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?