tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 2 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 77 minLightning 2 minWeather observations 3 minFAA surface data 7 minFAA flight data 7 min
Forecast Significant New Cancellation EWR departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among Newark departures 6–9 PM Saturday

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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 7 cancellations among Newark departures 6–9 PM Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 91 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Saturday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetEWR departures 6–9 PM 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.8 over 91 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 7:00 AM EST · 9.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 13:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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