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Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation IND departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 7 cancellations among Indianapolis departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 24 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (31%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetIND departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-14 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.4 over 24 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSat Nov 14, 7:00 AM EST · 0.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-14 13:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Nov 14, 9:01 AM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.