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Forecast Significant New Cancellation MCO departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among MCO departures noon–3 PM Sunday

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  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among MCO departures noon–3 PM Sunday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 90 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Sunday to be cancelled (7%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 1:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetMCO departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-15 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~6.3 over 90 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 15, 1:00 AM EST · 9.6 h ahead
    Model versionfamA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-15 07:26 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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