tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 223 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (223 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (223 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft SMF departures

Sacramento: 8 of 17 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Sacramento: 8 of 17 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

    Of the 19 departures scheduled from Sacramento (SMF) between 1:44 PM and 3:14 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SMF is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

    Evidence for this update
    Departures scheduled1:44 PM–3:14 PM PDT · 19 departures, aircraft known for 17
    Tight turns8 (47%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
    Inbound not yet in1 not taken off · 6 in the air
    MethodSFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    TightestWN 3903 to BUR at 1:56 PM: aircraft N949WN, inbound WN 2429 from LAS (airborne), -36 min to turn
    TightestWN 3980 to SNA at 2:09 PM: aircraft N946WN, inbound WN 4208 from PHX (airborne), -21 min to turn
    TightestWN 3949 to ONT at 1:55 PM: aircraft N455WN, inbound WN 1274 from ONT (airborne), -4 min to turn
    TightestWN 3942 to MCI at 3:03 PM: aircraft N8790Q, inbound WN 3648 from BOI (not departed), -2 min to turn
    TightestWN 932 to DEN at 2:38 PM: aircraft N964WN, inbound WN 932 from BUR (airborne), 0 min to turn
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-22 20:44 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
    Provenanceinbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Fri Oct 23, 1:50 AM PDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.