tailodds FORECAST

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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports, including tight aircraft turns there. Your own flight’s inbound aircraft is on its flight page.

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Airline analyst: Every MVP detector is airport-wide, so a carrier view would only repeat the airport feed.

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Event type
Evidence
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Metro areas

Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

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Published
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h

A horizon shows forecasts only: hours from the forecast to the start of the period it’s about.

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“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

Clear
Type: Inbound aircraft ×Airport: ATL × Clear filters
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EST, Nov 15 3 h ago
Observed Significant New Inbound aircraft ATL departures

Atlanta: 11 of 33 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Of the 77 departures scheduled from Atlanta (ATL) between 11:11 AM and 12:41 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 33. For 11 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into ATL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

Next 11:11 AM–12:41 PM ESTTight turns 11 of 33Share 33%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (1) View ATL
EST, Nov 14 22 h ago
Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft ATL departures

Atlanta: 14 of 41 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Of the 83 departures scheduled from Atlanta (ATL) between 4:42 PM and 6:12 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 41. For 14 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into ATL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

Next 4:42 PM–6:12 PM ESTTight turns 14 of 41Share 34%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (1) View ATL
EST, Nov 4 10 days ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft ATL departures

Atlanta aircraft turns back near normal: 5 of 46 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 39% at worst → 11% now

Of the 77 departures scheduled from Atlanta (ATL) between 5:38 PM and 7:08 PM EST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 46. For 5 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into ATL is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 5:38 PM–7:08 PM ESTTight turns 5 of 46Share 11%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View ATL

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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Matches: Type: Inbound aircraft · Airport: ATL. Alerts arrive as in-app notifications here; email isn’t switched on for this site.

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