tailodds FORECAST

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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports, including tight aircraft turns there. Your own flight’s inbound aircraft is on its flight page.

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Airline analyst: Every MVP detector is airport-wide, so a carrier view would only repeat the airport feed.

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Event type
Evidence
Location
Metro areas

Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

Severity
Status
Published
Forecast horizon
h

A horizon shows forecasts only: hours from the forecast to the start of the period it’s about.

Time zone

“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

Clear
Type: Cancellation ×Airport: BWI × Clear filters
Cards Terminal
Latest per event All updates
EST, Nov 13 1 h ago
Forecast Major New Cancellation BWI departures

Model expects about 5 cancellations among BWI departures 9 AM–noon Saturday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 50 departures scheduled 9 AM–noon Saturday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 11:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~5 cancellationsHorizon 9.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View BWI
EST, Nov 13 2 h ago
Forecast Major New Cancellation BWI departures

Model expects about 6 cancellations among BWI departures 6–9 AM Saturday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 59 departures scheduled 6–9 AM Saturday to be cancelled (10%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 10:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~6 cancellationsHorizon 7.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View BWI
EST, Nov 13 4 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation BWI departures

Model expects about 5 cancellations among BWI departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 5 of the 30 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (18%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~5 cancellationsHorizon 0.5 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View BWI
EST, Nov 13 8 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation BWI departures

Model expects about 7 cancellations among BWI departures 6–9 PM Friday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 7 of the 57 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (12%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~7 cancellationsHorizon 1.1 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View BWI

Every published update, newest first.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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Matches: Type: Cancellation · Airport: BWI. Alerts arrive as in-app notifications here; email isn’t switched on for this site.

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