Of 24 departures that took off between 10:26 AM and 11:26 AM EST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
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Tailodds’ model gives the 76 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Friday an average 53% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 37%. From the 7:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 55 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Friday an average 45% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 63 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale noon–3 PM Friday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 24%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 73 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 AM–noon Friday an average 40% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 20%. From the 4:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale arrival delays ease: 46% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 64% → 46%Loading earlier updates…
Of 13 arrivals that landed between 10:33 PM and 11:33 PM EST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale arrival delays worsen: 64% late in the last hour
▲ late share 54% → 64%Loading earlier updates…
Of 14 arrivals that landed between 10:13 PM and 11:13 PM EST, 9 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale arrival delays ease: 54% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 78% → 54%Loading earlier updates…
Of 13 arrivals that landed between 9:40 PM and 10:40 PM EST, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays ease: 45% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 78% → 45%Loading earlier updates…
Of 20 departures that took off between 8:37 PM and 9:37 PM EST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 52% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale arrival delays worsen: 78% late in the last hour
▲ late share 56% → 78%Loading earlier updates…
Of 18 arrivals that landed between 7:40 PM and 8:40 PM EST, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays worsen: 78% late in the last hour
▲ late share 67% → 78%Loading earlier updates…
Of 23 departures that took off between 7:31 PM and 8:31 PM EST, 18 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 41% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Tailodds’ model gives the 15 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 9 PM–midnight Thursday an average 68% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 44%. From the 7:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Loading earlier updates…
Of 18 arrivals that landed between 5:06 PM and 6:06 PM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Thursday to 67%
▲ 67% → 67% since the 2:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 75 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Thursday an average 67% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 42%. From the 4:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays ease: 67% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 67% → 67%Loading earlier updates…
Of 21 departures that took off between 3:39 PM and 4:39 PM EST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 40% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Thursday to 67%
▲ 64% → 67% since the 1:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 75 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Thursday an average 67% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 2:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Thursday to 64%
▼ 64% → 64% since the 12:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 75 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Thursday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 39%. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 3–6 PM Thursday to 56%
▼ 57% → 56% since the 12:00 PM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 56 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Thursday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 31%. From the 1:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale arrivals back near normal: 24% late in the last hour
late share 65% at worst → 24% nowLoading earlier updates…
Of 17 arrivals that landed between 12:53 PM and 1:53 PM EST, 4 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour
▲ late share 59% → 67%Loading earlier updates…
Of 18 departures that took off between 12:02 PM and 1:02 PM EST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Model raises Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Thursday to 64%
▲ 55% → 64% since the 10:00 AM EST forecast (same model, same window)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 74 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Thursday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 38%. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Updated model puts Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 3–6 PM Thursday at 57%
▲ 43% → 57% since the 2:00 AM EST forecast (model changed)Loading earlier updates…
Tailodds’ model gives the 56 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 3–6 PM Thursday an average 57% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 29%. From the 12:00 PM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays ease: 59% late in the last hour, still above normal
▼ late share 67% → 59%Loading earlier updates…
Of 17 departures that took off between 11:41 AM and 12:41 PM EST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 31% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Loading earlier updates…
Of 31 arrivals that landed between 10:46 AM and 11:46 AM EST, 18 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 27% of arrivals at Fort Lauderdale arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Fort Lauderdale departure delays worsen: 67% late in the last hour
▲ late share 58% → 67%Loading earlier updates…
Of 18 departures that took off between 10:31 AM and 11:31 AM EST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. Fort Lauderdale typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Older items Every published update, newest first. Times are EST.
- Confirmed
- An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
- Observed
- We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
- Forecast
- Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?