tailodds FORECAST

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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 223 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 2 minFAA flight data 1 min

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Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

News desk major developments and corrections Airport operations restrictions, deterioration, recovery
Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports, including tight aircraft turns there. Your own flight’s inbound aircraft is on its flight page.

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Type: Inbound aircraft ×Airport: LAX × Clear filters
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PST, Nov 12 5 h ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft LAX departures

LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 40 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 27% at worst → 2% now

Of the 54 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 9:52 PM and 11:22 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 40. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 9:52 PM–11:22 PM PSTTight turns 1 of 40Share 2%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View LAX
PST, Nov 9 3 days ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft LAX departures

LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 3 of 40 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 25% at worst → 8% now

Of the 47 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 8:50 PM and 10:20 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 40. For 3 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 8:50 PM–10:20 PM PSTTight turns 3 of 40Share 8%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View LAX
PST, Nov 2 10 days ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft LAX departures

LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 3 of 31 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 28% at worst → 10% now

Of the 42 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 8:23 PM and 9:53 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 31. For 3 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 8:23 PM–9:53 PM PSTTight turns 3 of 31Share 10%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View LAX
PST, Nov 1 11 days ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft LAX departures

LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 2 of 35 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 26% at worst → 6% now

Of the 50 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 9:46 PM and 11:16 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 35. For 2 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 9:46 PM–11:16 PM PSTTight turns 2 of 35Share 6%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View LAX
PST, Nov 1 11 days ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft LAX departures

LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 36% at worst → 0% now

Of the 26 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 5:10 AM and 6:40 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 5:10 AM–6:40 AM PSTTight turns 0 of 15Share 0%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View LAX
PDT, Oct 25 18 days ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft LAX departures

LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 34 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 28% at worst → 3% now

Of the 43 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 10:52 PM and 12:22 AM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 34. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 10:52 PM–12:22 AM PDTTight turns 1 of 34Share 3%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View LAX
PDT, Oct 18 25 days ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft LAX departures

LAX aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 39 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 31% at worst → 3% now

Of the 48 departures scheduled from LAX (LAX) between 10:28 PM and 11:58 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 39. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAX is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 10:28 PM–11:58 PM PDTTight turns 1 of 39Share 3%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View LAX

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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