Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 hstaleForecast cycle 62 minLightning 221 hstaleWeather observations no datastaleFAA surface data 7 minFAA flight data 7 min
FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old).
No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.
Lightning is stale (221 h old).
Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.
Weather observations is stale.
Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.
Of 12 arrivals that landed between 7:20 PM and 8:20 PM CST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Tailodds’ model gives the 34 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Thursday an average 48% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 2:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Of 12 departures that took off between 5:25 PM and 6:25 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Of 14 arrivals that landed between 4:41 PM and 5:41 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Tailodds’ model gives the 44 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Friday an average 56% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 36%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 49 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Friday an average 51% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Of 13 departures that took off between 12:31 PM and 1:31 PM CST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 21% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Of 12 departures that took off between 11:23 AM and 12:23 PM CST, 5 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 18% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Tailodds’ model gives the 50 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Tuesday an average 38% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 1:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Of 14 arrivals that landed between 7:07 PM and 8:07 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Of 12 departures that took off between 5:20 PM and 6:20 PM CST, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
▲ 41% → 51% since the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model changed)
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Tailodds’ model gives the 48 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Monday an average 51% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 30%. From the 12:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 49 departures scheduled from Kansas City noon–3 PM Monday an average 41% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 21%. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Of 13 departures that took off between 6:31 PM and 7:31 PM CST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Kansas City typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Of 15 arrivals that landed between 11:15 PM and 12:15 AM CDT, 1 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
2 updates · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Tailodds’ model gives the 28 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Friday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 1:00 PM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 35 departures scheduled from Kansas City 3–6 PM Friday an average 41% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 25%. From the 1:00 PM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Of 12 arrivals that landed between 11:50 PM and 12:50 AM CDT, 7 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Kansas City arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
1 update · Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedulesOpen event ›View MCI
Tailodds’ model gives the 28 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Thursday an average 41% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 26%. From the 2:00 PM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Tailodds’ model gives the 31 departures scheduled from Kansas City 6–9 PM Sunday an average 43% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 27%. From the 2:00 PM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.