tailodds FORECAST

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Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

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Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports, including tight aircraft turns there. Your own flight’s inbound aircraft is on its flight page.

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Metro areas

Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

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h

A horizon shows forecasts only: hours from the forecast to the start of the period it’s about.

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“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

Clear
Type: Cancellation ×Airport: MDW × Clear filters
Cards Terminal
Latest per event All updates
CST, Nov 13 17 min ago
Forecast Major Resolved De-escalation Cancellation MDW departures

Model lowers expected cancellations to about 4 among Midway departures 9 PM–midnight Friday

What changed: about 7 → 4 expected cancellations since the 6:00 PM CST forecast

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 4 of the 29 departures scheduled 9 PM–midnight Friday to be cancelled (15%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 8:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~4 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View MDW
CST, Nov 13 3 h ago
Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation MDW departures

Model expects about 9 cancellations among Midway departures 6–9 PM Friday

Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 9 of the 41 departures scheduled 6–9 PM Friday to be cancelled (21%). With calm weather it would expect about 0. From the 5:00 PM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

Expected ~9 cancellationsHorizon 0.0 hModel famB-sd-v4i

Source: Tailodds forecast Timeline (1) View MDW

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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Matches: Type: Cancellation · Airport: MDW. Alerts arrive as in-app notifications here; email isn’t switched on for this site.

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