tailodds FORECAST

Wire

Sourced developments at US airports: what the FAA reports at every airport, and what we measure and our model forecasts at the busiest ones.

Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 223 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min

FAA NAS status is stale (223 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (223 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

News desk major developments and corrections Airport operations restrictions, deterioration, recovery
Passenger events at your flight's airports

Enter a flight: you see events at its departure and arrival airports, including tight aircraft turns there. Your own flight’s inbound aircraft is on its flight page.

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Airline analyst: Every MVP detector is airport-wide, so a carrier view would only repeat the airport feed.

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Departures: events affecting flights leaving the airport. Arrivals: flights going to it.

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h

A horizon shows forecasts only: hours from the forecast to the start of the period it’s about.

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“Today” and dates above start at midnight in this zone. Each item shows its airport’s local time; hover a time for UTC.

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Type: Inbound aircraft ×Airport: ORD × Clear filters
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CST, Nov 11 31 h ago
Observed Informational Resolved Recovery Inbound aircraft ORD departures

O'Hare aircraft turns back near normal: 5 of 42 departures in the next 90 min are tight

What changed: tight share 41% at worst → 12% now

Of the 49 departures scheduled from O'Hare (ORD) between 9:58 PM and 11:28 PM CST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 42. For 5 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into ORD is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

Next 9:58 PM–11:28 PM CSTTight turns 5 of 42Share 12%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (2) 1 earlier matching update View ORD
CDT, Oct 31 12 days ago
Observed Significant Resolved Inbound aircraft ORD departures

O'Hare: 17 of 56 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

Of the 98 departures scheduled from O'Hare (ORD) between 8:27 PM and 9:57 PM CDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 56. For 17 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into ORD is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

Next 8:27 PM–9:57 PM CDTTight turns 17 of 56Share 30%

Source: Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Timeline (1) View ORD

Each item is the latest update matching your filters; the event’s current status is on its chip. All updates shows the full chronological wire.

Confirmed
An official source (the FAA) reports it. We attribute it; we don’t independently verify it.
Observed
We measured it from FAA flight data: window, sample size and the typical level are on the item.
Forecast
Our model predicts it, with its probability, target, horizon and model version. It has not happened. How accurate is it?

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