Schedule: a typical Wednesday (the flights of Jul 29, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2985SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Yesterday
AA 2985 · RDU → DCA
departs 6:00 AM ET · arrives 7:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 16h after departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
19%chance · ±0 pts−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREVery high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.