tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 15 LANDED 3:03 PM PT, ~112 MIN LATE
Yesterday

AS 15 · DCA → SAN

took off 1:02 PM ET · landed 3:03 PM PT (scheduled 10:57 AM ET → 1:15 PM PT)
Forecast issued Mon 11:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Late chance · ±0 pts −2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.5d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late did it get to SAN?

RESOLVED
  1. On time or early
    –
  2. 15–30 min late
    –
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    –
  4. 1–2 hours late
    ✓
  5. Over 2 hours late
    –

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.