DL 2187 · MSP → MIA

departs 6:53 PM CT · arrives 11:35 PM ET

Your aircraft is N821DN (B739), coming in as DL 793 from MIA: landed 4:57 PM CT.

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±0 pts −13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↑ 6pm departures from MSP are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MIA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2187 · MSP → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?