Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2187
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow
DL 2187 · MSP → MIA
departs 6:26 PM CT · arrives 10:57 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 13%
Sat 10/31
Sun 11/1 45%
Mon 11/2 28%
Tue 11/3 22%
Wed 11/4 20%
Thu 11/5 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at MIA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MIA?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at MIA that day
↑
6pm departures from MSP are often late
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
DL's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.03 in
MIA (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.