Schedule: the flights that flew on Saturday, Oct 24, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 31 Today
DL 1694 · MSP → FSD
departs 9:50 PM CT · arrives 10:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 3:00 AM ET · 20h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2 41%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 22%
Fri 11/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 2.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at FSD that day
↑
Other factors
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 1,300 ft forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.07 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.