Schedule: the flights that flew on Monday, Oct 26, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, November 2
DL 1694 · MSP → FSD
departs 10:05 PM CT · arrives 11:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 68h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/1 20%
Mon 11/2
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 22%
Fri 11/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
7.0d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.1 in of rain forecast at MSP that day
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.7 in of rain forecast at FSD that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
FSD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 32 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.95 in
FSD (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip 1.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.