Schedule: the flights that flew on Sunday, Oct 25, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 1694
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, November 1 Tomorrow
DL 1694 · MSP → FSD
departs 10:05 PM CT · arrives 11:06 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sun 11/1
Mon 11/2 41%
Tue 11/3 24%
Wed 11/4 17%
Thu 11/5 22%
Fri 11/6 22%
Odds over time
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
7.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FSD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at FSD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FSD?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Other factors
↑
MSP is busy at that time
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
↓
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft forecast at MSP that day
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
FSD (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 1,033 ft Visibility 4.66667 mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.