Tracked live by the FAA. The scheduled times shown are from a typical Saturday because the FAA's flight plan was first seen after takeoff.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2309 SCHEDULED

Saturday, October 31 Tomorrow

DL 2309 · MSP → MCO

departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 11:58 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 24h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

20% chance · ±2 pts −9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↑ This flight has been late 31% of the time recently

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

MSP (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling1,033 ft Visibility5.33333 mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts28 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2309 · MSP → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?