Monday, October 5 · our forecast odds · issued Sun 7:00 AM ET · 38 nonstops
Tomorrow looks rough: weather pushes the average chance of arriving 15+ min late to 27%, against 14% on a calm day. Safest: UA 1309 at 05:57, 4%.
Weather
27%
average chance a nonstop arrives 15+ min late; 14% for the same flights on a calm-weather day
Every nonstop on Mon, Oct 5
12-month record →Ranked by the chance of arriving 15+ minutes late, with each flight’s on-time record over Aug 2025 – Jul 2026 beside it. Times are local. Pick a flight for its forecast. Click a column to sort.
| UA 1309 United Flight history → | MCO 05:57 | EWR 08:46 | 4% | 2% | 1.3% | 96% |
| DL 2702 Delta Flight history → | MCO 06:00 | JFK 08:43 | 4% | 2% | 1.2% | 93% |
| UA 1105 United Flight history → | MCO 06:30 | EWR 09:15 | 6% | 2% | 1.3% | 95% |
| DL 2693 Delta Flight history → | MCO 07:40 | JFK 10:17 | 6% | 3% | 1.2% | 88% |
| UA 577 United Flight history → | MCO 07:40 | EWR 10:25 | 6% | 3% | 1.2% | 92% |
| UA 1227 United Flight history → | MCO 09:10 | EWR 11:53 | 9% | 3% | 1.0% | 91% |
| B6 2584 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 06:00 | JFK 08:47 | 9% | 3% | 1.2% | 83% |
| DL 1573 Delta Flight history → | MCO 07:00 | LGA 09:41 | 9% | 2% | 1.6% | 91% |
| B6 1184 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 07:00 | JFK 09:45 | 10% | 3% | 1.2% | 91% |
| UA 2120 United Flight history → | MCO 10:22 | EWR 13:05 | 11% | 4% | 0.8% | 88% |
| DL 2049 Delta Flight history → | MCO 11:05 | JFK 13:46 | 11% | 5% | 0.8% | 82% |
| F9 2512 Frontier Flight history → | MCO 07:40 | EWR 10:31 | 14% | 5% | 1.6% | 90% |
| B6 884 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 06:05 | JFK 08:36 | 14% | 3% | 1.2% | 53% |
| UA 663 United Flight history → | MCO 11:45 | EWR 14:30 | 15% | 6% | 0.8% | 82% |
| DL 1164 Delta Flight history → | MCO 10:48 | LGA 13:24 | 18% | 5% | 1.2% | 84% |
| B6 384 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 09:47 | JFK 12:30 | 19% | 6% | 1.2% | 68% |
| B6 184 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 11:15 | JFK 13:59 | 20% | 10% | 1.2% | 75% |
| DL 2775 Delta Flight history → | MCO 15:22 | JFK 18:45 | 23% | 10% | 1.2% | 74% |
| AA 3114 American Flight history → | MCO 11:12 | LGA 13:59 | 25% | 9% | 0.8% | 76% |
| DL 1668 Delta Flight history → | MCO 19:52 | JFK 22:59 | 26% | 16% | 2.1% | 45% |
| UA 1643 United Flight history → | MCO 14:37 | EWR 17:30 | 28% | 13% | 0.9% | 74% |
| DL 1362 Delta Flight history → | MCO 13:56 | LGA 16:54 | 28% | 8% | 1.2% | 67% |
| UA 2629 United Flight history → | MCO 16:04 | EWR 18:57 | 34% | 14% | 1.3% | 63% |
| DL 2564 Delta Flight history → | MCO 15:47 | LGA 18:50 | 35% | 13% | 1.3% | 72% |
| DL 2520 Delta Flight history → | MCO 19:57 | LGA 22:55 | 35% | 13% | 2.1% | 59% |
| B6 698 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 12:17 | LGA 14:59 | 36% | 15% | 1.0% | 73% |
| UA 1651 United Flight history → | MCO 19:03 | EWR 21:59 | 37% | 14% | 1.6% | 55% |
| B6 1084 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 14:57 | JFK 17:44 | 39% | 16% | 1.2% | 79%worse than usual |
| UA 583 United Flight history → | MCO 17:02 | EWR 19:56 | 39% | 14% | 1.3% | 41% |
| B6 128 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 14:59 | EWR 17:50 | 41% | 21% | 1.3% | 69% |
| F9 2432 Frontier Flight history → | MCO 13:10 | LGA 16:00 | 42% | 16% | 1.6% | 67% |
| B6 598 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 14:17 | LGA 17:01 | 50% | 21% | 1.2% | 78%worse than usual |
| B6 2984 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 16:11 | JFK 19:01 | 50% | 16% | 1.8% | 56% |
| B6 1728 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 17:00 | EWR 19:51 | 54% | 21% | 2.1% | 53% |
| B6 1284 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 18:38 | JFK 21:29 | 54% | 21% | 2.3% | 55% |
| B6 1098 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 17:15 | LGA 20:03 | 56% | 22% | 1.8% | 60%worse than usual |
| AA 2069 American Flight history → | MCO 18:42 | LGA 21:29 | 56% | 16% | 2.2% | 26% |
| B6 798 JetBlue Flight history → | MCO 19:12 | LGA 21:59 | 58% | 25% | 2.1% | 45% |
About this data: forecast odds from our model for Mon, Oct 5 (newest published update); 12-month records from US DOT on-time data, Aug 2025 – Jul 2026, all US airlines; regional flights count under the airline that sells them. JSON