Phoenix departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:22 PM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 43% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 47 departures that took off between 9:13 AM and 10:13 AM MST, 20 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 16% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:13 AM–10:13 AM MST Sample 47 flights, 20 late (43%) Comparison 16% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour Median delay 11.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 17:13 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 68% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 43% → 68%
Of 22 departures that took off between 2:29 PM and 3:29 PM MST, 15 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 2:29 PM–3:29 PM MST Sample 22 flights, 15 late (68%) Comparison 27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 2 PM hour Median delay 20.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 22:29 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 55% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 68% → 55%
Of 20 departures that took off between 2:49 PM and 3:49 PM MST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 2:49 PM–3:49 PM MST Sample 20 flights, 11 late (55%) Comparison 29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour Median delay 17.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-23 22:49 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 10% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 76% at worst → 10% now
Of 31 departures that took off between 3:22 PM and 4:22 PM MST, 3 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:22 PM–4:22 PM MST Sample 31 flights, 3 late (10%) Comparison 29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour Median delay -2.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 23:22 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?