Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 12% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:03 PM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 6
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 42% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 43 arrivals that landed between 7:34 PM and 8:34 PM MST, 18 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 7:34 PM–8:34 PM MST Sample 43 flights, 18 late (42%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 3.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 03:34 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 68% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 42% → 68%
Of 31 arrivals that landed between 9:34 PM and 10:34 PM MST, 21 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:34 PM–10:34 PM MST Sample 31 flights, 21 late (68%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 21.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 05:34 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays ease: 54% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 68% → 54%
Of 26 arrivals that landed between 10:14 PM and 11:14 PM MST, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 10:14 PM–11:14 PM MST Sample 26 flights, 14 late (54%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 16.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 06:14 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 65% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 54% → 65%
Of 23 arrivals that landed between 11:13 PM and 12:13 AM MST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:13 PM–12:13 AM MST Sample 23 flights, 15 late (65%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 32.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 07:13 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays ease: 37% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 65% → 37%
Of 43 arrivals that landed between 3:20 PM and 4:20 PM MST, 16 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 3:20 PM–4:20 PM MST Sample 43 flights, 16 late (37%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 2.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 23:20 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 12% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 79% at worst → 12% now
Of 42 arrivals that landed between 5:03 PM and 6:03 PM MST, 5 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:03 PM–6:03 PM MST Sample 42 flights, 5 late (12%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -13.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-25 01:03 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?