tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 79 minLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay SNA departures

Orange County departure delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View SNAFlights at SNA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Orange County departures running late: 87% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 15 departures that took off between 2:39 PM and 3:39 PM PDT, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Orange County typically sees 25% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:39 PM–3:39 PM PDT
    Sample15 flights, 13 late (87%)
    Comparison25% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour
    Median delay26.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-23 22:39 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Observed

    Orange County departure delays ease: 58% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 87% → 58%

    Of 12 departures that took off between 6:14 PM and 7:14 PM PDT, 7 left at least 15 minutes late. Orange County typically sees 28% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:14 PM–7:14 PM PDT
    Sample12 flights, 7 late (58%)
    Comparison28% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 PM hour
    Median delay20.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-24 02:14 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Sat Oct 24, 9:33 PM PDT: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.