Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Saturday to 26%, near normal
- Current state
- Resolved at 5:56 AM CDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model forecasts 44% delay risk for Love Field departures noon–3 PM Saturday
Tailodds’ model gives the 33 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Saturday an average 44% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 19%. From the 2:00 AM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-10-24 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 44% over 33 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Oct 24, 2:00 AM CDT · 8.5 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 08:27 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Saturday to 26%, near normal
What changed: 44% → 26%; calm-weather level 19%
Tailodds’ model gives the 33 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Saturday an average 26% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 19%. From the 5:00 AM CDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-10-24 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 26% over 33 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Sat Oct 24, 5:00 AM CDT · 6.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-24 10:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?