National aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 17 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 9:49 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 10 of 31 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 38 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 7:32 PM and 9:02 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 31. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 7:32 PM–9:02 PM EDT · 38 departures, aircraft known for 31 Tight turns 10 (32%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 7 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest AA 2083 to RDU at 8:00 PM: aircraft N822AW, inbound AA 2769 from ORD (airborne), 9 min to turn Tightest OH 5544 to PNS at 7:45 PM: aircraft N530EA, inbound JIA5401 from HPN (landed), 12 min to turn Tightest WN 4556 to DAL at 8:11 PM: aircraft N463WN, inbound WN 1088 from MDW (airborne), 14 min to turn Tightest WN 1645 to HOU at 8:26 PM: aircraft N8718Q, inbound WN 4057 from PVD (airborne), 18 min to turn Tightest MQ 3928 to MEM at 8:17 PM: aircraft N337MR, inbound MQ 4074 from BUF (airborne), 19 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-25 23:32 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 17 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 38% at worst → 6% now
Of the 20 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 9:49 PM and 11:19 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 32 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 9:49 PM–11:19 PM EDT · 20 departures, aircraft known for 17 Tight turns 1 (6%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 1 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest AA 2978 to PWM at 10:13 PM: aircraft N756US, inbound AA 3310 from TPA (airborne), 14 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-26 01:49 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?