Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight

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1. Initial Observed Sat Oct 17, 12:42 PM PDT

   Las Vegas: 8 of 31 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

   Of the 45 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 12:42 PM and 2:12 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 31. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	12:42 PM–2:12 PM PDT · 45 departures, aircraft known for 31
   Tight turns	8 (26%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	1 not taken off · 4 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Tightest	WN 4689 to FAT at 1:23 PM: aircraft N8835Q, inbound WN 3405 from PHX (not departed), -47 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 4227 to LBB at 1:51 PM: aircraft N243WN, inbound WN 3865 from SAT (airborne), 4 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 2282 to DEN at 1:09 PM: aircraft N9006L, inbound WN 3475 from SLC (airborne), 7 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 668 to SAN at 12:55 PM: aircraft N954WN, inbound WN 2956 from RNO (landed), 15 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 4564 to MSY at 1:49 PM: aircraft N1802U, inbound WN 3652 from SAN (airborne), 21 min to turn
   Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 12:42 PM PDT
   Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 12:42 PM PDT
   Published here	Sat Oct 17, 12:42 PM PDT (2026-10-17 19:42 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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2. Recovery Observed Sat Oct 17, 10:07 PM PDT

   Las Vegas aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 15 departures in the next 90 min are tight

   What changed: tight share 38% at worst → 0% now

   Of the 20 departures scheduled from Las Vegas (LAS) between 10:07 PM and 11:37 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 15. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into LAS is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	10:07 PM–11:37 PM PDT · 20 departures, aircraft known for 15
   Tight turns	0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	0 not taken off · 0 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Source event time	Sat Oct 17, 10:07 PM PDT
   Ingested	Sat Oct 17, 10:07 PM PDT
   Published here	Sat Oct 17, 10:07 PM PDT (2026-10-18 05:07 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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