National aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 20 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 11:40 AM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
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Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 9 of 31 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 43 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 9:31 AM and 11:01 AM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 31. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 9:31 AM–11:01 AM EDT · 43 departures, aircraft known for 31 Tight turns 9 (29%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest QK 783 to YYZ at 9:41 AM: aircraft CFUJA, inbound QK 780 from YYZ (airborne), -3 min to turn Tightest G7 4516 to EWR at 10:06 AM: aircraft N513GJ, inbound G7 4500 from EWR (airborne), 3 min to turn Tightest OH 5053 to AVL at 9:39 AM: aircraft N548NN, inbound OH 5149 from TYS (landed), 5 min to turn Tightest YX 4461 to EYW at 10:17 AM: aircraft N439YX, inbound YX 4352 from IND (airborne), 11 min to turn Tightest YX 4647 to BUF at 9:50 AM: aircraft N405YX, inbound YX 4468 from ORD (airborne), 16 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-26 13:31 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 0 of 20 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 35% at worst → 0% now
Of the 37 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 11:40 AM and 1:10 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 20. For 0 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 11:40 AM–1:10 PM EDT · 37 departures, aircraft known for 20 Tight turns 0 (0%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 0 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-26 15:40 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?