SFO aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 24 departures in the next 90 min are tight

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1. Initial Observed Mon Oct 26, 9:42 AM PDT

   SFO: 8 of 32 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn

   Of the 57 departures scheduled from SFO (SFO) between 9:42 AM and 11:12 AM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 32. For 8 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SFO is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	9:42 AM–11:12 AM PDT · 57 departures, aircraft known for 32
   Tight turns	8 (25%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	1 not taken off · 4 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Tightest	OO 6007 to MRY at 10:00 AM: aircraft N947SW, inbound OO 385 from SMF (not departed), -37 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 1647 to SAN at 10:56 AM: aircraft N8866H, inbound WN 4303 from DEN (airborne), -15 min to turn
   Tightest	OO 4708 to ACV at 10:15 AM: aircraft N610UX, inbound OO 4639 from BOI (airborne), 17 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 3288 to AUS at 10:33 AM: aircraft N8961K, inbound WN 3471 from PHX (airborne), 23 min to turn
   Tightest	WN 4311 to BUR at 10:38 AM: aircraft N429WN, inbound WN 1146 from BUR (airborne), 25 min to turn
   Source event time	Mon Oct 26, 9:42 AM PDT
   Ingested	Mon Oct 26, 9:42 AM PDT
   Published here	Mon Oct 26, 9:42 AM PDT (2026-10-26 16:42 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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2. Recovery Observed Mon Oct 26, 2:22 PM PDT

   SFO aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 24 departures in the next 90 min are tight

   What changed: tight share 29% at worst → 4% now

   Of the 32 departures scheduled from SFO (SFO) between 2:22 PM and 3:52 PM PDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 24. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SFO is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 1 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.

   Evidence for this update

   Departures scheduled	2:22 PM–3:52 PM PDT · 32 departures, aircraft known for 24
   Tight turns	1 (4%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure
   Inbound not yet in	1 not taken off · 0 in the air
   Method	SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
   Tightest	WN 4313 to DAL at 3:31 PM: aircraft N8866H, inbound WN 473 from SAN (not departed), -24 min to turn
   Source event time	Mon Oct 26, 2:22 PM PDT
   Ingested	Mon Oct 26, 2:22 PM PDT
   Published here	Mon Oct 26, 2:22 PM PDT (2026-10-26 21:22 UTC)
   Sources	Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules
   Provenance	inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1

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