tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 224 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data <1 minFAA flight data 1 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (224 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay PHX departures

Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 6:34 AM MST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View PHXFlights at PHX

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Phoenix departures running late: 54% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 24 departures that took off between 10:40 PM and 11:40 PM MST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 19% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:40 PM–11:40 PM MST
    Sample24 flights, 13 late (54%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 PM hour
    Median delay27.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-27 06:40 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 65% at worst → 0% now

    Of 20 departures that took off between 5:34 AM and 6:34 AM MST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:34 AM–6:34 AM MST
    Sample20 flights, 0 late (0%)
    Comparison5% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 6 AM hour
    Median delay-6.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-27 13:34 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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