National aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 25 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 3:39 PM EDT
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National: 10 of 38 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 46 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 2:45 PM and 4:15 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 38. For 10 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 2:45 PM–4:15 PM EDT · 46 departures, aircraft known for 38 Tight turns 10 (26%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 4 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 1150 to TPA at 2:49 PM: aircraft N480WN, inbound WN 10 from DAL (airborne), -11 min to turn Tightest AA 359 to ORD at 2:50 PM: aircraft N809AW, inbound AA 1893 from FLL (landed), 11 min to turn Tightest G7 4560 to EWR at 3:01 PM: aircraft N538GJ, inbound G7 4499 from EWR (airborne), 15 min to turn Tightest OH 5172 to CVG at 2:49 PM: aircraft N507AE, inbound OH 5071 from BTV (landed), 17 min to turn Tightest WN 4523 to BNA at 4:03 PM: aircraft N278WN, inbound WN 4747 from BNA (airborne), 20 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-28 18:45 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 25 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 26% at worst → 4% now
Of the 38 departures scheduled from National (DCA) between 3:39 PM and 5:09 PM EDT, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 25. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into DCA is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 3:39 PM–5:09 PM EDT · 38 departures, aircraft known for 25 Tight turns 1 (4%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 0 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 4523 to BNA at 4:03 PM: aircraft N278WN, inbound WN 4747 from BNA (landed), 23 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-28 19:39 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?