tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 224 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 224 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 6 min

FAA NAS status is stale (224 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (224 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay BNA arrivals

Nashville arrivals back near normal: 25% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 7:54 PM CDT
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View BNAFlights at BNA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Nashville arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 24 arrivals that landed between 5:02 PM and 6:02 PM CDT, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Nashville arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:02 PM–6:02 PM CDT
    Sample24 flights, 12 late (50%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay21.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-17 23:02 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Nashville arrivals back near normal: 25% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% at worst → 25% now

    Of 24 arrivals that landed between 6:54 PM and 7:54 PM CDT, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 23% of arrivals at Nashville arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 30 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:54 PM–7:54 PM CDT
    Sample24 flights, 6 late (25%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay4.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-18 00:54 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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