tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 2 minFAA NAS status 2 minForecast cycle 2 hLightning 1 minWeather observations 3 minFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 3 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Delay HOU departures

Model forecasts 49% delay risk for Hobby departures 9 AM–noon Sunday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
1
Create monitor View HOUFlights at HOU

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model forecasts 49% delay risk for Hobby departures 9 AM–noon Sunday

    Tailodds’ model gives the 54 departures scheduled from Hobby 9 AM–noon Sunday an average 49% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 25%. From the 8:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetHOU departures 9 AM–noon 2026-11-01 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)49% over 54 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Nov 1, 8:00 AM CST · 0.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-01 14:58 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Sun Nov 1, 9:00 AM CST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.