tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 223 h staleForecast cycle 80 minLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 4 min

FAA NAS status is stale (223 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (223 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay BWI departures

BWI departure delays ease: 48% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
Create monitor View BWIFlights at BWI

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    BWI departures running late: 69% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 16 departures that took off between 6:30 PM and 7:30 PM EST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. BWI typically sees 38% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:30 PM–7:30 PM EST
    Sample16 flights, 11 late (69%)
    Comparison38% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
    Median delay30.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 00:30 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    BWI departure delays worsen: 80% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 69% → 80%

    Of 15 departures that took off between 6:59 PM and 7:59 PM EST, 12 left at least 15 minutes late. BWI typically sees 38% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:59 PM–7:59 PM EST
    Sample15 flights, 12 late (80%)
    Comparison38% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
    Median delay37.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 00:59 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    BWI departure delays ease: 48% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 80% → 48%

    Of 21 departures that took off between 7:24 PM and 8:24 PM EST, 10 left at least 15 minutes late. BWI typically sees 38% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:24 PM–8:24 PM EST
    Sample21 flights, 10 late (48%)
    Comparison38% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 7 PM hour
    Median delay14.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 01:24 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Mon Nov 2, 5:32 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.