tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 223 h staleForecast cycle 75 minLightning 223 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 4 min

FAA NAS status is stale (223 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (223 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Major Resolved Delay BWI arrivals

BWI arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View BWIFlights at BWI

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    BWI arrivals running late: 50% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 22 arrivals that landed between 9:20 PM and 10:20 PM EST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at BWI arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:20 PM–10:20 PM EST
    Sample22 flights, 11 late (50%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay18.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 03:20 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    BWI arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% → 77%

    Of 13 arrivals that landed between 9:41 PM and 10:41 PM EST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 19% of arrivals at BWI arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:41 PM–10:41 PM EST
    Sample13 flights, 10 late (77%)
    Comparison19% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay32.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 03:41 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Mon Nov 2, 6:07 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.