tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 229 h staleForecast cycle 73 minLightning 229 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 6 min

FAA NAS status is stale (229 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (229 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Major Resolved Delay MIA departures

Miami departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
Create monitor View MIAFlights at MIA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Miami departures running late: 43% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 14 departures that took off between 7:33 AM and 8:33 AM EST, 6 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 10% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:33 AM–8:33 AM EST
    Sample14 flights, 6 late (43%)
    Comparison10% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 8 AM hour
    Median delay13.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 13:33 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Miami departure delays worsen: 64% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 43% → 64%

    Of 14 departures that took off between 9:17 AM and 10:17 AM EST, 9 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 15% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:17 AM–10:17 AM EST
    Sample14 flights, 9 late (64%)
    Comparison15% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 9 AM hour
    Median delay30.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 15:17 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Miami departure delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 64% → 50%

    Of 22 departures that took off between 9:37 AM and 10:37 AM EST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 17% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:37 AM–10:37 AM EST
    Sample22 flights, 11 late (50%)
    Comparison17% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 10 AM hour
    Median delay38.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 15:37 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Miami departure delays worsen: 72% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 50% → 72%

    Of 29 departures that took off between 10:37 AM and 11:37 AM EST, 21 left at least 15 minutes late. Miami typically sees 23% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window10:37 AM–11:37 AM EST
    Sample29 flights, 21 late (72%)
    Comparison23% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 11 AM hour
    Median delay30.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 16:37 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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Closed Tue Nov 3, 6:32 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.