tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 1 hLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 7 minFAA flight data 8 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Forecast Major Resolved Cancellation FLL departures

Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Monday

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View FLLFlights at FLL

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model expects about 6 cancellations among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Monday

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 6 of the 69 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Monday to be cancelled (9%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 10:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetFLL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~5.9 over 69 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonMon Nov 2, 10:00 AM EST · 1.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 15:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  2. Escalation Forecast

    Model raises expected cancellations to about 8 among Fort Lauderdale departures noon–3 PM Monday

    What changed: about 6 → 8 expected cancellations since the 10:00 AM EST forecast

    Adding up each flight’s cancellation probability, Tailodds’ model expects about 8 of the 71 departures scheduled noon–3 PM Monday to be cancelled (11%). With calm weather it would expect about 1. From the 11:00 AM EST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of cancellations.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetFLL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-02 (cancelled)
    Expected cancellations~7.6 over 71 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonMon Nov 2, 11:00 AM EST · 0.0 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 16:58 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Mon Nov 2, 12:00 PM EST: The forecast window has started; measured delays are reported separately as observed items.