tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 229 h staleForecast cycle 73 minLightning 229 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 6 min

FAA NAS status is stale (229 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (229 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Major Resolved Delay MIA arrivals

Miami arrival delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
4
Create monitor View MIAFlights at MIA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Miami arrivals running late: 44% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 18 arrivals that landed between 11:04 AM and 12:04 PM EST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window11:04 AM–12:04 PM EST
    Sample18 flights, 8 late (44%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay8.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 17:04 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays worsen: 62% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 44% → 62%

    Of 24 arrivals that landed between 2:30 PM and 3:30 PM EST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window2:30 PM–3:30 PM EST
    Sample24 flights, 15 late (62%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay24.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 20:30 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays ease: 55% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 62% → 55%

    Of 22 arrivals that landed between 5:57 PM and 6:57 PM EST, 12 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:57 PM–6:57 PM EST
    Sample22 flights, 12 late (55%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay16.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-02 23:57 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  4. Escalation Observed

    Miami arrival delays worsen: 75% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 55% → 75%

    Of 20 arrivals that landed between 7:32 PM and 8:32 PM EST, 15 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 22% of arrivals at Miami arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window7:32 PM–8:32 PM EST
    Sample20 flights, 15 late (75%)
    Comparison22% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay63.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-03 01:32 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Tue Nov 3, 7:04 AM EST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.