San Diego aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 17 departures in the next 90 min are tight
- Current state
- Resolved at 10:00 PM PST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
San Diego: 9 of 26 departures in the next 90 min have their aircraft due in with under 35 min to turn
Of the 33 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 10:14 AM and 11:44 AM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 26. For 9 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 10:14 AM–11:44 AM PST · 33 departures, aircraft known for 26 Tight turns 9 (35%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 9 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 4317 to SMF at 11:03 AM: aircraft N8907L, inbound WN 2854 from MCO (airborne), -6 min to turn Tightest WN 4669 to BNA at 11:00 AM: aircraft N8975K, inbound WN 107 from PDX (airborne), 18 min to turn Tightest WN 4452 to PHX at 11:13 AM: aircraft N8546V, inbound WN 4452 from STL (airborne), 20 min to turn Tightest F9 3381 to SFO at 10:51 AM: aircraft N437FR, inbound F9 1571 from PHX (airborne), 23 min to turn Tightest OO 3162 to SFO at 10:44 AM: aircraft N175SY, inbound OO 3059 from DEN (airborne), 27 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 18:14 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
More tight aircraft turns at San Diego: 17 of 35 departures in the next 90 min
What changed: tight share 35% → 49%
Of the 45 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 12:04 PM and 1:34 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 35. For 17 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 2 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 12:04 PM–1:34 PM PST · 45 departures, aircraft known for 35 Tight turns 17 (49%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 2 not taken off · 11 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 330 to MCI at 12:30 PM: aircraft N7723E, inbound WN 330 from SBA (not departed), -58 min to turn Tightest WN 2397 to LAS at 12:46 PM: aircraft N216WR, inbound WN 4044 from SMF (not departed), -47 min to turn Tightest WN 3760 to TPA at 12:55 PM: aircraft N8568Z, inbound WN 1771 from RNO (airborne), -13 min to turn Tightest WN 4803 to CMH at 1:07 PM: aircraft N931WN, inbound WN 4804 from SFO (airborne), -1 min to turn Tightest WN 748 to SBA at 12:15 PM: aircraft N7879A, inbound WN 4387 from SJC (landed), 12 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 20:04 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Fewer tight aircraft turns at San Diego: 12 of 24 departures in the next 90 min, still high
What changed: tight share 49% → 50%
Of the 35 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 1:14 PM and 2:44 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 24. For 12 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 1:14 PM–2:44 PM PST · 35 departures, aircraft known for 24 Tight turns 12 (50%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 8 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest OO 3154 to MRY at 1:30 PM: aircraft N411SY, inbound OO 3039 from SJC (airborne), -31 min to turn Tightest WN 1316 to STL at 1:37 PM: aircraft N217JC, inbound WN 1316 from PHX (airborne), -1 min to turn Tightest WN 522 to GEG at 2:20 PM: aircraft N8688J, inbound WN 1778 from DEN (airborne), -1 min to turn Tightest WS 1483 to YYC at 1:27 PM: aircraft CGRAG, inbound WS 1482 from YYC (airborne), 4 min to turn Tightest WN 3667 to BWI at 2:15 PM: aircraft N8556Z, inbound WN 3725 from SJC (airborne), 4 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-02 21:14 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
San Diego aircraft turns back near normal: 1 of 17 departures in the next 90 min are tight
What changed: tight share 73% at worst → 6% now
Of the 18 departures scheduled from San Diego (SAN) between 10:00 PM and 11:30 PM PST, FAA flight plans name the aircraft for 17. For 1 of those, the aircraft’s previous flight into SAN is due at the gate less than 35 minutes before the scheduled departure, or after it (FAA arrival times or estimates plus the airport’s typical taxi time); 0 of those inbound flights have not taken off yet. Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data; it does not mean each of these departures will leave late. The tight share has stayed at or below 12% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with current data.
Evidence for this update
Departures scheduled 10:00 PM–11:30 PM PST · 18 departures, aircraft known for 17 Tight turns 1 (6%) with the inbound due under 35 min before departure Inbound not yet in 0 not taken off · 0 in the air Method SFDPS flight-plan aircraft (flight_aircraft) -> previous flight into this airport; FAA wheels-on or arrival estimate + median taxi-in (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Tightest WN 3691 to BWI at 10:00 PM: aircraft N479WN, inbound WN 4047 from SMF (landed), 5 min to turn Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-03 06:00 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight plans and arrival estimates against airline schedules Provenance inbound_aircraft inbound-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?