tailodds FORECAST
Live · checked FAA national advisories 1 minFAA NAS status 1 minForecast cycle 89 minLightning 1 minWeather observations 6 minFAA surface data 5 minFAA flight data 5 min
Forecast Significant Resolved Delay FLL departures

Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday to 55%, near normal

Current state
Resolved at 11:55 AM EDT
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View FLLFlights at FLL

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Forecast

    Model forecasts 64% delay risk for Fort Lauderdale departures 6–9 PM Sunday

    Tailodds’ model gives the 71 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Sunday an average 64% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 47%. From the 10:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetFLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-10-18 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)64% over 71 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Oct 18, 10:00 AM EDT · 7.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-18 14:56 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Resolution Forecast

    Model lowers Fort Lauderdale departure delay risk 6–9 PM Sunday to 55%, near normal

    What changed: 64% → 55%; calm-weather level 49%

    Tailodds’ model gives the 71 departures scheduled from Fort Lauderdale 6–9 PM Sunday an average 55% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 49%. From the 11:00 AM EDT forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.

    Evidence for this update
    TargetFLL departures 6–9 PM 2026-10-18 (15+ min late)
    Probability (calibrated, mean per flight)55% over 71 flights
    Forecast cycle · horizonSun Oct 18, 11:00 AM EDT · 6.1 h ahead
    Model versionfamB-sd-v4i
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-10-18 15:55 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds forecast
    Provenanceforecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?