tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 222 h staleForecast cycle 57 minLightning 222 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 3 minFAA flight data 2 min

FAA NAS status is stale (222 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (222 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay TPA departures

Tampa departures back near normal: 27% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 5:38 PM EST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
Create monitor View TPAFlights at TPA

Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Tampa departures running late: 53% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 15 departures that took off between 3:43 PM and 4:43 PM EST, 8 left at least 15 minutes late. Tampa typically sees 30% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window3:43 PM–4:43 PM EST
    Sample15 flights, 8 late (53%)
    Comparison30% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay20.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-04 21:43 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?
  2. Recovery Observed

    Tampa departures back near normal: 27% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 53% at worst → 27% now

    Of 15 departures that took off between 4:38 PM and 5:38 PM EST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. Tampa typically sees 34% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:38 PM–5:38 PM EST
    Sample15 flights, 4 late (27%)
    Comparison34% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour
    Median delay7.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-04 22:38 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?