Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Friday to 39%, near normal
- Current state
- Resolved at 4:56 AM CST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 2
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Forecast
Model forecasts 49% delay risk for Love Field departures noon–3 PM Friday
Tailodds’ model gives the 63 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Friday an average 49% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 1:00 AM CST forecast (model famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i). This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-06 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 49% over 63 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 6, 1:00 AM CST · 9.6 h ahead Model version famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-06 08:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Resolution Forecast
Model lowers Love Field departure delay risk noon–3 PM Friday to 39%, near normal
What changed: 49% → 39%; calm-weather level 33%
Tailodds’ model gives the 64 departures scheduled from Love Field noon–3 PM Friday an average 39% chance of leaving 15+ minutes late. With calm weather the same flights would average 33%. From the 4:00 AM CST forecast (model famB-sd-v4i). The model changed since the previous item (from famA-fc-v3+famB-sd-v4i), so some or all of this change comes from the new model rather than new information. This is a forecast, not a report of delays.
Evidence for this update
Target DAL departures noon–3 PM 2026-11-06 (15+ min late) Probability (calibrated, mean per flight) 39% over 64 flights Forecast cycle · horizon Fri Nov 6, 4:00 AM CST · 7.1 h ahead Model version famB-sd-v4i (changed since the previous update) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-06 10:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds forecast Provenance forecast_blocks forecast-blocks-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?