Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:09 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 4
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix departures running late: 44% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 34 departures that took off between 12:35 PM and 1:35 PM MST, 15 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:35 PM–1:35 PM MST Sample 34 flights, 15 late (44%) Comparison 24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour Median delay 10.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-18 20:35 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays worsen: 65% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 44% → 65%
Of 37 departures that took off between 1:26 PM and 2:26 PM MST, 24 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 1:26 PM–2:26 PM MST Sample 37 flights, 24 late (65%) Comparison 24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour Median delay 19.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-18 21:26 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
Phoenix departure delays ease: 45% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 65% → 45%
Of 31 departures that took off between 2:30 PM and 3:30 PM MST, 14 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 29% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 2:30 PM–3:30 PM MST Sample 31 flights, 14 late (45%) Comparison 29% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 3 PM hour Median delay 14.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-18 22:30 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix departures back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 72% at worst → 0% now
Of 18 departures that took off between 5:09 AM and 6:09 AM MST, 0 left at least 15 minutes late. Phoenix typically sees 5% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 AM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 15% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:09 AM–6:09 AM MST Sample 18 flights, 0 late (0%) Comparison 5% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 AM hour Median delay 0.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 13:09 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?