Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 6:56 AM MST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
Phoenix arrivals running late: 42% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 33 arrivals that landed between 9:12 PM and 10:12 PM MST, 14 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 9:12 PM–10:12 PM MST Sample 33 flights, 14 late (42%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 12.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 05:12 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Escalation Observed
Phoenix arrival delays worsen: 77% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 42% → 77%
Of 13 arrivals that landed between 11:44 PM and 12:44 AM MST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 11:44 PM–12:44 AM MST Sample 13 flights, 10 late (77%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay 40.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 07:44 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
Phoenix arrivals back near normal: 0% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 77% at worst → 0% now
Of 31 arrivals that landed between 5:56 AM and 6:56 AM MST, 0 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 20% of arrivals at Phoenix arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 5:56 AM–6:56 AM MST Sample 31 flights, 0 late (0%) Comparison 20% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals Median delay -11.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-10-19 13:56 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?