National departures back near normal: 14% late in the last hour
- Current state
- Resolved at 2:28 PM EST
- Started
- Latest activity
- Updates
- 3
Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.
Updates oldest first
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Initial Observed
National departures running late: 73% left 15+ min late in the last hour
Of 15 departures that took off between 12:07 PM and 1:07 PM EST, 11 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 24% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:07 PM–1:07 PM EST Sample 15 flights, 11 late (73%) Comparison 24% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 12 PM hour Median delay 30.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-11 18:07 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
De-escalation Observed
National departure delays ease: 48% late in the last hour, still above normal
What changed: late share 73% → 48%
Of 31 departures that took off between 12:35 PM and 1:35 PM EST, 15 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 12:35 PM–1:35 PM EST Sample 31 flights, 15 late (48%) Comparison 27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour Median delay 14.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-11 18:35 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful? -
Recovery Observed
National departures back near normal: 14% late in the last hour
What changed: late share 73% at worst → 14% now
Of 28 departures that took off between 1:28 PM and 2:28 PM EST, 4 left at least 15 minutes late. National typically sees 27% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 30% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.
Evidence for this update
Measurement window 1:28 PM–2:28 PM EST Sample 28 flights, 4 late (14%) Comparison 27% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 1 PM hour Median delay -4.0 min Method FAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds) Source event time Ingested Published here (2026-11-11 19:28 UTC) Sources Tailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules Provenance observed_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1 Was this useful?