tailodds FORECAST
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Observed Significant Resolved Delay AUS departures

Austin departure delays ease: 68% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Resolved: closed without a new report (No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.)
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Austin departures running late: 72% left 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 18 departures that took off between 4:01 PM and 5:01 PM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 37% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:01 PM–5:01 PM CST
    Sample18 flights, 13 late (72%)
    Comparison37% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 4 PM hour
    Median delay21.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-12 23:01 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. De-escalation Observed

    Austin departure delays ease: 68% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 72% → 68%

    Of 19 departures that took off between 4:34 PM and 5:34 PM CST, 13 left at least 15 minutes late. Austin typically sees 38% of departures in this hour leave that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window4:34 PM–5:34 PM CST
    Sample19 flights, 13 late (68%)
    Comparison38% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, departures in the 5 PM hour
    Median delay19.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-12 23:34 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
    Was this useful?

Closed Fri Nov 13, 3:37 AM CST: No usable measurement for 6 h; closed without a recovery report.