tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 84 minLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 4 minFAA flight data 5 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Resolved Delay MSP arrivals

Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 8% late in the last hour

Current state
Resolved at 7:17 PM CST
Started
Latest activity
Updates
2
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Minneapolis arrivals running late: 40% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 25 arrivals that landed between 5:30 PM and 6:30 PM CST, 10 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window5:30 PM–6:30 PM CST
    Sample25 flights, 10 late (40%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay4.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 00:30 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Recovery Observed

    Minneapolis arrivals back near normal: 8% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 42% at worst → 8% now

    Of 36 arrivals that landed between 6:17 PM and 7:17 PM CST, 3 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules. The late share has stayed at or below 28% for 31 minutes across 16 checks, each with at least 12 flights and current data.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window6:17 PM–7:17 PM CST
    Sample36 flights, 3 late (8%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay-8.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 01:17 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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