tailodds FORECAST
Partly stale · checked FAA NAS status 221 h staleForecast cycle 86 minLightning 221 h staleWeather observations no data staleFAA surface data 6 minFAA flight data 1 min

FAA NAS status is stale (221 h old). No FAA restriction can start or end on the wire until it is fresh again.

Lightning is stale (221 h old). Lightning items are paused; thunderstorm items still come from official observations.

Weather observations is stale. Weather items are paused until it is fresh again; missing observations never end a weather event.

Observed Significant Developing Delay MSP arrivals

Minneapolis arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

Current state
Developing
Started
Latest activity
Updates
3
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Tailodds reports what the FAA publishes, what we measure and what our model forecasts. It doesn’t control airport operations or change bookings; check with your airline about your trip.

Updates oldest first

  1. Initial Observed

    Minneapolis arrivals running late: 44% reached the gate 15+ min late in the last hour

    Of 18 arrivals that landed between 8:50 PM and 9:50 PM CST, 8 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window8:50 PM–9:50 PM CST
    Sample18 flights, 8 late (44%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay12.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 03:50 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  2. Escalation Observed

    Minneapolis arrival delays worsen: 69% late in the last hour

    What changed: late share 44% → 69%

    Of 16 arrivals that landed between 9:15 PM and 10:15 PM CST, 11 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:15 PM–10:15 PM CST
    Sample16 flights, 11 late (69%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay23.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 04:15 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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  3. De-escalation Observed

    Minneapolis arrival delays ease: 50% late in the last hour, still above normal

    What changed: late share 69% → 50%

    Of 12 arrivals that landed between 9:35 PM and 10:35 PM CST, 6 reached the gate at least 15 minutes late. Typically 18% of arrivals at Minneapolis arrive that late (US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals). Measured by Tailodds from FAA flight data against airline schedules.

    Evidence for this update
    Measurement window9:35 PM–10:35 PM CST
    Sample12 flights, 6 late (50%)
    Comparison18% typical · US DOT on-time data, last 12 published months, all arrivals
    Median delay23.0 min
    MethodFAA wheels-off/on +/- median taxi (taxi_times) vs the FAA-filed airline schedule (flight_odds)
    Source event time
    Ingested
    Published here (2026-11-13 04:35 UTC)
    SourcesTailodds measurement of FAA flight data against airline schedules
    Provenanceobserved_ops observed-ops-v1 · config 2026-10-17.1 · writer template-v1
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